1. Darrell Henderson LAR vs TEN
2. Jonathan Taylor IND vs NYJ
3. Najee Harris PIT vs CHI
4. Alvin Kamara NO vs ATL
5. Dalvin Cook MIN @ BAL
6. Ezekiel Elliot DAL vs DEN
7. Josh Jacobs LV @ NYG
8. Austin Ekeler LAC @ PHI
9. Aaron Jones GB @ KC
10. Joe Mixon CIN @ CLE
11. Nick Chubb CLE vs CIN
12. Cordarrelle Patterson ATL @ NO
13. Damien Harris NE @ CAR
14. Darrel Williams KC vs GB
15. Boston Scott PHI vs LAC
16. Myles Gaskin MIA vs HOU
17. Elijah Mitchell SF vs ARI
18. Chuba Hubbard CAR vs NE
19. Michael Carter NYJ @ IND
20. Khalil Herbert CHI @ PIT
21. Devontae Booker NYG vs LV
22. Chase Edmonds ARI @ SF
23. Melvin Gordon DEN @ DAL
24. Javonte Williams DEN @ DAL
25. Jeremy McNichols TEN @ LA

Jonathan Taylor has the second most defense-adjusted yards over average (DYAR) and runs against a Jets defense that is 28th in the league this season. The Colts are a 10.5 point favorite at home against the Jets, marrying an excellent matchup to an excellent potential game flow for Taylor to rush. 

The Tennessee Titans have a solid pass defense so far this season (14th in defense adjusted yards over average –DVOA) but are much worse against the run (28th in DVOA), giving Darrell Henderson another opportunity to show off his RB1 breakout season. Henderson is 5th in the league in DYAR and the Rams are heavy (7.5 point) favorites against the Derrick Henry-less Titans. 

With no Aaron Rodgers this week, Aaron Jones might be leaned on more heavily in his matchup against the Kansas City Chiefs. Jordan Love is the QB and could feature more check downs to Jones as well as running Jones against the 29th ranked rushing defense of the Chiefs. 

Green Bay Packers themselves are the 30th ranked rush defense, meaning that Darrel Williams should be able to give Patrick Mahomes a solid rushing attack to get their offense back on track. 

Austin Ekeler remains the NFL’s #1 most efficient running back, per DVOA, and he gets the Philadelphia Eagles, who are a run-funnel defense by virtue of their 12th ranked passing defense but 22nd ranked rush defense. 

The Los Angeles Chargers are the worst rush defense in the league and last week we saw Boston Scott taking advantage of the Miles Sanders injury. Scott should be in good shape again this week in this softer matchup. 


Jason Walker